Excelsior vs Almere City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TEL
2 - 5
EXC
23%
23%
53%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 4
EIN
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
IJS
0 - 3
EXC
10%
16%
74%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ADO
0 - 2
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVV
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 3
ADO
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
HEL
1 - 2
ALM
19%
22%
60%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 2
GAE
28%
23%
48%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 5
PSV
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 0
ALM
20%
21%
60%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |