Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 2
RJC
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 2
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
WKE
0 - 3
EXC
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
AUX
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |