Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
ADO
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 0
VOL
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
UTR
6 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 5
AJA
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
32%
28%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |