Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
SHS
2 - 3
EXC
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1970 |
PSV
3 - 0
EXC
79%
12%
8%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
34%
25%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
SPA
5 - 1
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 0
TIR
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 1
TEL
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
VOL
0 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
TIR
2 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
4 - 0
DWS
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |