Excelsior vs AGOVV Apeldoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
FCD
3 - 3
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 2
HEL
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MVV
4 - 2
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ONS
1 - 1
EXC
15%
20%
66%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
EIN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
APE
6 - 1
FCE
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 2
APE
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
APE
2 - 3
BOS
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
APE
80%
14%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
WIL
5 - 0
APE
79%
14%
8%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |