Excelsior vs AGOVV Apeldoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
EXC
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
HFC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 0
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
VVV
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
APE
3 - 2
BOS
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
ZWO
3 - 2
APE
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
APE
2 - 2
RKC
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
HFC
1 - 0
APE
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
APE
1 - 0
HEL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |