Excelsior vs AGOVV Apeldoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
BOS
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 1
VOL
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
EIN
0 - 6
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
BVV
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
APE
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
APE
9 - 1
HEL
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
BVV
1 - 0
APE
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
APE
2 - 2
FCO
63%
20%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
BOS
5 - 1
APE
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |