Excelsior vs AGOVV Apeldoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
TEL
2 - 1
EXC
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
BVV
64%
20%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
17%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 2
VVV
49%
23%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
APE
3 - 2
FCE
48%
23%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
HEL
7 - 1
APE
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
APE
4 - 0
GAE
37%
24%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
HER
3 - 0
APE
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
APE
2 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |