Excelsior vs AGOVV Apeldoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
VVV
4 - 2
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCE
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
20%
22%
57%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
5 - 3
GAE
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
HEL
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
APE
0 - 1
HER
27%
24%
50%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
FCO
1 - 0
APE
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
APE
2 - 3
TEL
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
MVV
0 - 2
APE
44%
24%
32%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
APE
5 - 0
VVV
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |