Excelsior vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
ADO
0 - 0
EXC
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
EXC
3 - 0
MVV
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
NEC
5 - 0
EXC
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
EXC
0 - 2
GAE
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
FEY
4 - 2
EXC
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
DWS
0 - 0
TEL
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
VOL
2 - 2
DWS
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
AZA
0 - 0
DWS
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
DWS
0 - 1
ADO
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
MVV
2 - 0
DWS
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |