Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 0
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
RKC
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 3
GVV
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
49%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ADO
2 - 2
UTR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 0
ADO
67%
19%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
4 - 0
ADO
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
ADO
39%
24%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ADO
1 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |