Excelsior Virton vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WAA
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
KSV
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
ZUL
3 - 0
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
EXC
0 - 0
KSV
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
EEA
1 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 1
VWH
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
WAA
2 - 1
UNI
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
BER
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TOU
0 - 3
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
LEU
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |