Excelsior Virton vs SL16 FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
4º
9
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ROC
0 - 2
EXC
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
1 - 0
NAM
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 2
GEN
23%
25%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 2
EXC
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NAM
2 - 1
STL
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
STL
2 - 2
BIN
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
ROC
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
STL
5 - 1
TOU
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 1
STL
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |