Excelsior Virton vs SL16 FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
6º
4º
28
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 2
DEI
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
KRC
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRG
1 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 3
RSC
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KRC
1 - 1
STL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
STL
1 - 0
LOM
32%
25%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KRC
2 - 2
STL
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STL
0 - 0
BRG
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RWD
3 - 1
STL
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |