Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WSW
0 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
DES
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VWH
0 - 3
EXC
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
DEI
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Hasselt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
SPO
74%
16%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 2
VWH
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WSW
1 - 0
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
DEN
24%
24%
51%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DEI
1 - 0
SPO
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -2 |