Excelsior Virton vs Oudenaarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 2
EXC
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
GEE
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
SER
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -3 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 2
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oudenaarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
OUD
3 - 0
SPO
42%
24%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
OUD
4 - 0
PAT
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DEN
2 - 2
OUD
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
OUD
1 - 0
DEI
75%
15%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
OUD
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |