Excelsior Virton vs Union Namur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
GEN
1 - 1
EXC
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
EXC
0 - 1
TUB
22%
25%
54%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
EXC
1 - 1
ROC
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
OLY
5 - 3
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
EXC
2 - 1
STO
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Union Namur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NAM
0 - 1
LOU
9%
17%
74%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
BIN
1 - 1
NAM
39%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NAM
3 - 0
TOU
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
RCS
1 - 1
NAM
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NAM
0 - 3
SGI
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |