Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
WAA
4 - 3
EXC
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
DEI
27%
25%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
1 - 1
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
LOM
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
RWD
0 - 0
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lierse Kempenzonen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
KSK
2 - 2
MOU
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
KSK
2 - 1
WAA
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LOM
3 - 1
KSK
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
KSK
4 - 1
RWD
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
KSK
2 - 0
RUP
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |