Excelsior Virton vs Jong Genk analysis


57	ELO	59
-1.1%	Tilt	4.2%
2221º	General ELO ranking	2373º
42º	Country ELO ranking	47º
ELO win probability

35.7%

Excelsior Virton

27.5%

Draw

36.8%

Jong Genk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%

27.5%

Draw

0-0

8.8%

1-1

13%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.5%

36.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+9%

-28%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

6º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

23

4º

6º

4º

27

1º

6º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

5º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
3º	40	21	1º	100%
2º	47	17	2º	0%
1º	49	17	3º	0%
6º	23	9	4º	0%
4º	28	9	5º	0%
5º	27	7	6º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Mid-table	100%	0%
Relegation	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior Virton

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
05 May. 2023	STL 1 - 1 EXC 51% 25% 24%	56	60	4	0
22 Apr. 2023	DEI 3 - 1 EXC 72% 18% 10%	56	69	13	0
16 Apr. 2023	EXC 0 - 1 DEN 36% 28% 36%	56	60	4	0
09 Apr. 2023	EXC 0 - 1 LOM 17% 23% 60%	57	69	12	-1
02 Apr. 2023	LOM 1 - 2 EXC 67% 21% 13%	56	69	13	+1

Matches

Jong Genk

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 May. 2023	KRC 0 - 2 DEI 32% 27% 42%	60	70	10	0
21 Apr. 2023	KRC 2 - 3 LOM 29% 26% 45%	60	70	10	0
15 Apr. 2023	STL 0 - 0 KRC 44% 26% 30%	60	60	0	0
07 Apr. 2023	KRC 0 - 4 DEN 53% 26% 22%	62	57	5	-2
31 Mar. 2023	DEN 1 - 0 KRC 34% 27% 39%	62	57	5	0