Excelsior Virton vs ASV Geel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
ANT
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VWH
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 2
DEI
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 1
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
KSK
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Geel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
KFC
1 - 3
RSW
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NAM
5 - 2
KFC
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
KFC
1 - 3
LEU
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
KFC
2 - 1
ANT
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
VWH
3 - 0
KFC
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |