Excelsior Virton vs ASV Geel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MON
5 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 0
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
BER
1 - 0
EXC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
LOM
20%
24%
57%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
WAA
2 - 2
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ASV Geel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
KFC
1 - 0
UNI
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BER
3 - 5
KFC
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
KFC
3 - 2
LOM
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
WAA
0 - 0
KFC
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
KFC
0 - 0
LEU
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |