Excelsior Virton vs Geel-Meerhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DEI
0 - 0
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 0
EEA
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
KSK
0 - 2
EXC
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
EXC
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RUP
1 - 3
GEE
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GEE
3 - 2
KVT
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
OUD
0 - 0
GEE
66%
18%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GEE
2 - 3
DEI
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LIE
3 - 0
GEE
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |