Excelsior Virton vs Geel-Meerhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DEI
0 - 5
EXC
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 0
COX
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
EXC
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
SER
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DEN
2 - 0
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GEE
2 - 0
SPR
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 1
GEE
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
GEE
1 - 2
ZUL
6%
12%
81%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GEE
1 - 1
PAT
64%
20%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GEE
3 - 1
VWH
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |