Excelsior Virton vs Denderleeuw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
DES
0 - 2
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 3
PAT
60%
22%
17%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
DEI
3 - 1
EXC
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
VIS
3 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 1
ZUL
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Denderleeuw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 2
VIS
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ZUL
5 - 2
DEN
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
DEN
0 - 4
VWH
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
OOS
1 - 1
DEN
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
DEN
2 - 2
KSV
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |