Excelsior Virton vs Denderleeuw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
EUP
2 - 0
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 0
DES
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
ZUL
0 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 1
RON
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
ING
2 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Denderleeuw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
DEN
2 - 2
LIE
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
KFC
2 - 2
DEN
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
TIE
1 - 3
DEN
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
DEN
0 - 1
EUP
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
DES
2 - 0
DEN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |