Excelsior Virton vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 1
LOM
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
KNO
4 - 0
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 1
OUD
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 2
EXC
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
GEE
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EEA
2 - 0
PAT
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
OUD
4 - 0
EEA
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
EEA
0 - 3
LOM
24%
24%
51%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GEE
0 - 1
EEA
47%
23%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EEA
1 - 0
BER
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |