Excelsior Virton vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
KFC
1 - 1
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 0
TUB
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
RWD
0 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 1
RON
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
EUP
2 - 0
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
EEA
1 - 0
VIS
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ZUL
1 - 2
EEA
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
EEA
3 - 1
VWH
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
OOS
2 - 1
EEA
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
EEA
1 - 1
KSV
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |