Excelsior Virton vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
12º
12º
19
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DEI
1 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 2
EXC
22%
23%
56%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAA
2 - 2
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
9 - 1
ARQ
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
RWD
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 1
STL
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
JET
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RWD
1 - 0
DEN
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
4 - 0
WET
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 4
LOM
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |