Excelsior Virton vs Beringen Heusden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 1
ZUL
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
TUB
1 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
EXC
0 - 3
KVK
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
RON
1 - 0
EXC
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
DES
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Beringen Heusden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BER
2 - 1
UNI
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BER
0 - 2
WAA
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
KSV
0 - 0
BER
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BER
1 - 2
ZUL
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 1
BER
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |