Excelsior Virton vs Beringen Heusden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 0
TIE
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
LIE
3 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
GNK
3 - 1
EXC
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
KFC
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
DEN
3 - 0
EXC
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Beringen Heusden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
BER
3 - 1
LIE
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
KFC
1 - 0
BER
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BER
0 - 2
ANT
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
BER
1 - 1
DEN
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EUP
0 - 0
BER
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |