Excelsior Virton vs KAS Eupen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
EXC
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
CER
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 0
GEE
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 1
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
COX
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EUP
2 - 0
LOM
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KSV
2 - 2
EUP
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EUP
2 - 0
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CER
4 - 0
EUP
38%
27%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
EUP
6 - 0
PAT
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |