Excelsior Virton vs KAS Eupen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
TOU
1 - 1
EXC
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 2
TIE
39%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NAM
0 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 1
OOS
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ANT
2 - 1
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EUP
1 - 0
RON
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
STR
3 - 0
EUP
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
EUP
2 - 1
KVS
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LIE
4 - 1
EUP
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DEI
1 - 2
EUP
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |