Excelsior Virton vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DES
5 - 0
EXC
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
WAA
0 - 0
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 2
EUP
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 1
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 3
DEN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ANT
4 - 1
LOK
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 3
RON
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ANT
0 - 0
KVK
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
KVM
0 - 1
ANT
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ANT
5 - 1
TIE
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |