Excelsior Virton U21 vs FCV Dender U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
11º
10º
24
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 3
EXV
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
WAS
2 - 0
EXV
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
EXV
1 - 4
RBR
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
STR
4 - 1
EXV
61%
18%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
EXV
1 - 1
WES
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
STR
5 - 2
FCV
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
FCV
3 - 0
RBR
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
WES
6 - 2
FCV
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 1
DNZ
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 0
FCV
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |