Excelsior U19 vs Willem II U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AMC
3 - 2
EXC
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
UTR
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VVV
5 - 2
EXC
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 0
FDB
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
GOA
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 4
ADO
25%
23%
53%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 2
SPR
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ALK
2 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |