Excelsior U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 4
VOL
31%
22%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
EXC
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 2
ROD
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DBS
5 - 2
EXC
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EXC
4 - 3
PEC
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
PEC
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
WIL
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 3
WIL
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 0
DBS
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ROD
0 - 2
WIL
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |