Excelsior U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCE
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 2
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 1
EXC
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 1
ROD
44%
21%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 0
DOR
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
WIL
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 3
ROD
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
DBS
0 - 5
WIL
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
NEC
2 - 3
WIL
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |