Excelsior U21 vs Vitesse U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 2
NEC
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 6
SPA
4%
12%
84%
|
21 | 82 | 61 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DBS
2 - 3
EXC
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
GAE
21%
20%
58%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
EMM
6 - 1
EXC
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitesse U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
VIT
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
DOR
71%
15%
13%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 0
VIT
45%
21%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
VIT
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |