Excelsior U21 vs NEC Nijmegen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
41%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 6
SPA
4%
12%
84%
|
21 | 82 | 61 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DBS
2 - 3
EXC
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
GAE
21%
20%
58%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
EMM
6 - 1
EXC
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DET
5 - 2
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GRA
5 - 2
NEC
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 3
THS
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
NEC
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 1
NEC
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |