Excelsior U21 vs NAC Breda U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
ADO
4 - 0
EXC
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 2
NEC
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
EXC
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 2
FYN
32%
22%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 2
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
ADO
31%
22%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
NEC
3 - 1
NAC
54%
21%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FYN
0 - 1
NAC
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
CAM
46%
22%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 2
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -2 |