Excelsior U21 vs Heerenveen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
RKC
0 - 4
EXC
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
60%
19%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 1
ADO
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 4
CAM
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
NAC
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
ADO
4 - 4
HER
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
HER
4 - 2
NEC
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 0
HER
19%
19%
62%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
FYN
0 - 1
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |