Excelsior U21 vs Heerenveen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
55.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
HER
4 - 0
EXC
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
ROD
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 2
ADO
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
EXC
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
FYN
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
HER
4 - 0
EXC
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
NAC
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 2
HER
23%
20%
58%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
HER
6 - 0
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
HER
6 - 0
ROD
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |