Excelsior U21 vs De Graafschap U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
VOL
4 - 2
EXC
69%
16%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
EXC
0 - 0
HER
21%
21%
59%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
EXC
2 - 5
EMM
66%
17%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
EXC
2 - 3
NEC
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NAC
5 - 2
GRA
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
GRA
3 - 1
WIL
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
VOL
0 - 3
GRA
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
EMM
1 - 4
GRA
15%
18%
67%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |