Excelsior U18 vs Willem II U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
4º
2º
17
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 2
EXC
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
APB
2 - 4
EXC
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 5
FDB
31%
21%
48%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 4
EXC
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 1
NEC
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 4
FDB
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 1
WIL
52%
20%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
43%
21%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 3
WIL
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 4
APB
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |