Excelsior U18 vs Willem II U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
46%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FCD
4 - 4
EXC
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
6 - 0
APB
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
KON
2 - 2
EXC
54%
21%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 0
FCD
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
APB
3 - 2
EXC
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
5 - 2
ALM
63%
18%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VVV
3 - 1
WIL
19%
19%
62%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 3
WIL
51%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
3 - 1
APB
84%
11%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
3 - 0
VVV
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |