Excelsior U18 vs NAC Breda U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
8º
8º
17
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIT
8 - 1
EXC
69%
16%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 7
HRV
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
6 - 1
EXC
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 3
FDB
22%
19%
59%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 2
NAC
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FDB
1 - 3
NAC
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
ADO
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
6 - 1
EXC
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HRV
1 - 1
NAC
27%
22%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |