Excelsior U18 vs FC Den Bosch U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
59.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
8º
8º
16
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
53%
20%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 5
VIT
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 2
EXC
37%
21%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
4 - 2
ADO
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
AFC
91%
7%
2%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Den Bosch U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FDB
1 - 2
HRV
86%
10%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
FDB
21%
19%
60%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ADO
1 - 2
FDB
8%
13%
80%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FDB
2 - 3
GRO
74%
15%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FDB
1 - 2
NEC
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |