Excelsior U18 vs FC Den Bosch U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
47.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
4º
2º
30
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 4
EXC
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 1
NEC
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 0
SVH
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
FCD
2 - 5
EXC
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 2
ROD
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Den Bosch U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
APB
3 - 3
FDB
28%
20%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FDB
2 - 4
VOL
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
APB
5 - 2
FDB
13%
17%
70%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -3 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
KON
0 - 6
FDB
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FDB
0 - 0
EMM
26%
21%
53%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |