Excelsior U18 vs Amsterdamsche FC U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
2.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
4º
2º
0
8º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
19%
18%
63%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 0
CAM
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
5 - 0
APB
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FDB
2 - 1
EXC
69%
16%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
VOL
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Amsterdamsche FC U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 8
FDB
5%
11%
84%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VOL
4 - 1
AFC
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 6
NEC
11%
15%
74%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
APB
6 - 3
AFC
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
5 - 1
AFC
71%
16%
14%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |