Excelsior U18 vs Alphense Boys U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
18%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
4º
2º
14
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FDB
2 - 1
EXC
69%
16%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
VOL
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 2
EXC
40%
21%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
EXC
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alphense Boys U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
APB
6 - 3
AFC
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FDB
5 - 0
APB
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
APB
2 - 1
WIL
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
APB
2 - 3
VOL
59%
18%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
APB
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |